Posted by: CS | December 1, 2014

Russia’s Puny Economy and Dying Population

In August, while speaking with John Micklethwait and Edward Carr from The EconomistPresident Obama remarked:

Russia doesn’t make anything. Immigrants aren’t rushing to Moscow in search of opportunity. The life expectancy of the Russian male is around 60 years old. The population is shrinking.

Russia’s puny economy and general decline is a common theme among those who disparage Russia. For example, in discussing the threat posed by Russia to European security, former UK Ambassador Craig Murray recently blogged:

Russia is not a great power. Its total GDP is about the same as Spain’s – and Spain is pretty knackered. Russia has even less economic clout as a basis for world domination than the UK.

Russia’s economy is not diversified. It is over-dependent on raw commodity production and export.  …  It will not be long before Poland plus the Baltic states are economically stronger than Russia.

Let’s consider these claims.

OK, Russia doesn’t make anything except, um:

They also make cars.

So much for making nothing.

What about the lack of rushing immigrants?

Well, actually, in 2013 Russia was the World’s second largest immigration haven. This year, who knows, Russia may come in as Number One counting the  million or so Ukrainians driven to Russia following Obama’s decision to turn the Government of Ukraine into an illegitimate, Russophobic Nazified puppet?

As for Obama’s “The life expectancy of the Russian male is around 60 years,” wrong again. Male life expectancy at birth in Russia for the 2010-2014 period is 65, years. And while we wish all Russians long life, we note in passing that it is highly efficient in economic terms for working males die in the year of normal retirement: no pension costs, no prolonged geriatric health care!

In case it would surprise you, Obama was also wrong about Russia’s population trend. Since 2010, Russia’s population growth has been positive.

In fact, Russians are doing better at maintaining their population than most Western nations.

In virtually every Western state the fertility of the indigenous majority is well below the replacement rate of 2.1.

In Greece and Bosnia, for example, the locals are rapidly approaching extinction with a fertility rate of only 1.3. Germany, Italy and Bosnia are headed for oblivion too, with a fertility rate of only 1.4.

By the same standard, the Russians are doing slightly better with a fertility rate of 1.6 but not as well as the Brits and the Americans who appear to be maintaining something close to population stability with a fertility rate of 1.9.

But the latter figure conceals the extent to which the native born are losing out to immigrants. For example, in Britain, native-born mothers match the poor performance of Russian women with a fertility rate of 1.6, whereas Libyan immigrants are hitting 5.6. Many other immigrant groups are well over 4.0, and Bangladeshi mothers, at 3.9, are doing much better than their sisters back home in Bangladesh.

This process of benign genocide is the result of a toxic culture, that results in the mass slaughter of the unborn (730,000 in the US in 2013), holds in high regard billionaire pornographers such as Rupert Murdoch and Silvio Berlusconni, and makes instruction in fellatio part of the school curriculum.

But returning to the puniness of Russia’s economy, no it is not the same size of that of Spain. According to the CIA Fact Book, Russia’s GDP in 2013 was 56% larger than Spain’s and if you adjust for purchasing power parity, the difference must be two to three times.

Likewise, the claim that Poland and the Baltic states will soon surpass Russia economically, is drivel. Poland and the Baltic trivialities have a combined GDP equal to less than one third of Russia’s. Moreover, Russia’s GDP per capita is greater than that of EU member Poland.

Another way of assessing the puniness of Russia’s economy is to compare it sector by sector with that of America. In agriculture for example, on a per capita basis, US agricultural output exceeds Russia’s by 9%. Well we know Americans tend to be overweight, so at least we can feel sure that Russians are adequately fed.

American industrial output per person exceeds Russia’s by 88%, but if we make the comparison on a purchasing power parity basis, the difference is only 51%.

But where the US truly excels is in services, things like movies, Walmart stores, advertising, doctors fees, legal action, government bureaucracy, etc., etc. There they outproduce Russia at a staggering rate of five to one.

Are Russians to be pitied for their lack of services? Well apparently they’re not complaining. In America, the white working class, we are told, like Obama less than ebola, giving him an approval rating of only 27%. In Russia, apparently, despite the puniness of the national GDP, President Putin has an approval rating almost twice that, though down from the eighties during the summer.

It’s difficult to have any respect for a head of state who talks rubbish. Either Obama is a fool or, we presume, an adherent of the Goebbels school of propaganda.


Information Clearing House: March 04, 2014 – The President of Russia met with media representatives to answer a number of their questions, in particular with regard to the situation in Ukraine.

PRESIDENT OF RUSSIA VLADIMIR PUTIN: Good afternoon, colleagues,

How shall we do this? This is what I’d like to suggest: let’s have a conversation, rather than an interview. Therefore, I would ask you to begin by stating all your questions, I will jot them down and try to answer them, and then we will have a more detailed discussion of the specifics that interest you most.

Let’s begin.

QUESTION: Mr President, I would like to ask (you took a lengthy pause, so we have quite a few questions by now) how you assess the events in Kiev? Do you think that the Government and the Acting President, who are currently in power in Kiev, are legitimate? Are you ready to communicate with them, and on what terms? Do you yourself think it possible now to return to the agreements of February 21, which we all talk about so often?

QUESTION: Mr President, Russia has promised financial aid to Crimea and instructions were issued to the Finance Ministry yesterday. Is there a clear understanding of how much we are giving, where the money is coming from, on what terms and when? The situation there is very difficult.

QUESTION: When, on what terms and in what scope can military force be used in Ukraine? To what extent does this comply with Russia’s international agreements? Did the military exercises that have just finished have anything to do with the possible use of force?

QUESTION: We would like to know more about Crimea. Do you think that the provocations are over or that there remains a threat to the Russian citizens who are now in Crimea and to the Russian-speaking population? What are the general dynamics there – is the situation changing for the better or for the worse? We are hearing different reports from there.

QUESTION: If you do decide to use force, have you thought through all the possible risks for yourself, for the country and for the world: economic sanctions, weakened global security, a possible visa ban or greater isolation for Russia, as western politicians are demanding?

QUESTION: Yesterday the Russian stock market fell sharply in response to the Federation Council’s vote, and the ruble exchange rates hit record lows. Did you expect such a reaction? What do you think are the possible consequences for the economy? Is there a need for any special measures now, and of what kind? For instance, do you think the Central Bank’s decision to shift to a floating ruble exchange rate may have been premature? Do you think it should be revoked?

VLADIMIR PUTIN: Fine, let us stop here for now. I will begin, and then we will continue. Don’t worry; I will try to answer as many questions as possible.

First of all, my assessment of what happened in Kiev and in Ukraine in general. There can only be one assessment: this was an anti-constitutional takeover, an armed seizure of power. Does anyone question this? Nobody does. There is a question here that neither I, nor my colleagues, with whom I have been discussing the situation in Ukraine a great deal over these past days, as you know – none of us can answer. The question is why was this done?

I would like to draw your attention to the fact that President Yanukovych, through the mediation of the Foreign Ministers of three European countries – Poland, Germany and France – and in the presence of my representative (this was the Russian Human Rights Commissioner Vladimir Lukin) signed an agreement with the opposition on February 21. I would like to stress that under that agreement (I am not saying this was good or bad, just stating the fact) Mr Yanukovych actually handed over power. He agreed to all the opposition’s demands: he agreed to early parliamentary elections, to early presidential elections, and to return to the 2004 Constitution, as demanded by the opposition. He gave a positive response to our request, the request of western countries and, first of all, of the opposition not to use force. He did not issue a single illegal order to shoot at the poor demonstrators. Moreover, he issued orders to withdraw all police forces from the capital, and they complied. He went to Kharkov to attend an event, and as soon as he left, instead of releasing the occupied administrative buildings, they immediately occupied the President’s residence and the Government building – all that instead of acting on the agreement.

I ask myself, what was the purpose of all this? I want to understand why this was done. He had in fact given up his power already, and as I believe, as I told him, he had no chance of being re-elected. Everybody agrees on this, everyone I have been speaking to on the telephone these past few days. What was the purpose of all those illegal, unconstitutional actions, why did they have to create this chaos in the country? Armed and masked militants are still roaming the streets of Kiev. This is a question to which there is no answer. Did they wish to humiliate someone and show their power? I think these actions are absolutely foolish. The result is the absolute opposite of what they expected, because their actions have significantly destabilised the east and southeast of Ukraine.

Now over to how this situation came about.

In my opinion, this revolutionary situation has been brewing for a long time, since the first days of Ukraine’s independence. The ordinary Ukrainian citizen, the ordinary guy suffered during the rule of Nicholas II, during the reign of Kuchma, and Yushchenko, and Yanukovych. Nothing or almost nothing has changed for the better. Corruption has reached dimensions that are unheard of here in Russia. Accumulation of wealth and social stratification – problems that are also acute in this country – are much worse in Ukraine, radically worse. Out there, they are beyond anything we can imagine. Generally, people wanted change, but one should not support illegal change.

Only constitutional means should be used on the post-Soviet space, where political structures are still very fragile, and economies are still weak. Going beyond the constitutional field would always be a cardinal mistake in such a situation. Incidentally, I understand those people on Maidan, though I do not support this kind of turnover. I understand the people on Maidan who are calling for radical change rather than some cosmetic remodelling of power. Why are they demanding this? Because they have grown used to seeing one set of thieves being replaced by another. Moreover, the people in the regions do not even participate in forming their own regional governments. There was a period in this country when the President appointed regional leaders, but then the local legislative authorities had to approve them, while in Ukraine they are appointed directly. We have now moved on to elections, while they are nowhere near this. And they began appointing all sorts of oligarchs and billionaires to govern the eastern regions of the country. No wonder the people do not accept this, no wonder they think that as a result of dishonest privatisation (just as many people think here as well) people have become rich and now they also have been brought to power.

For example, Mr Kolomoisky was appointed Governor of Dnepropetrovsk. This is a unique crook. He even managed to cheat our oligarch Roman Abramovich two or three years ago. Scammed him, as our intellectuals like to say. They signed some deal, Abramovich transferred several billion dollars, while this guy never delivered and pocketed the money. When I asked him [Abramovich]: “Why did you do it?” he said: “I never thought this was possible.” I do not know, by the way, if he ever got his money back and if the deal was closed. But this really did happen a couple of years ago. And now this crook is appointed Governor of Dnepropetrovsk. No wonder the people are dissatisfied. They were dissatisfied and will remain so if those who refer to themselves as the legitimate authorities continue in the same fashion.

Most importantly, people should have the right to determine their own future, that of their families and of their region, and to have equal participation in it. I would like to stress this: wherever a person lives, whatever part of the country, he or she should have the right to equal participation in determining the future of the country.

Are the current authorities legitimate? The Parliament is partially, but all the others are not. The current Acting President is definitely not legitimate. There is only one legitimate President, from a legal standpoint. Clearly, he has no power. However, as I have already said, and will repeat: Yanukovych is the only undoubtedly legitimate President.

There are three ways of removing a President under Ukrainian law: one is his death, the other is when he personally steps down, and the third is impeachment. The latter is a well-deliberated constitutional norm. It has to involve the Constitutional Court, the Supreme Court and the Rada. This is a complicated and lengthy procedure. It was not carried out. Therefore, from a legal perspective this is an undisputed fact.

Moreover, I think this may be why they disbanded the Constitutional Court, which runs counter to all legal norms of both Ukraine and Europe. They not only disbanded the Constitutional Court in an illegitimate fashion, but they also – just think about it – instructed the Prosecutor General’s Office to launch criminal proceedings against members of the Constitutional Court. What is that all about? Is this what they call free justice? How can you instruct anyone to start criminal proceedings? If a crime, a criminal offence, has been committed, the law enforcement agencies see this and react. But instructing them to file criminal charges is nonsense, it’s monkey business.

Now about financial aid to Crimea. As you may know, we have decided to organise work in the Russian regions to aid Crimea, which has turned to us for humanitarian support. We will provide it, of course. I cannot say how much, when or how – the Government is working on this, by bringing together the regions bordering on Crimea, by providing additional support to our regions so they could help the people in Crimea. We will do it, of course.

Regarding the deployment of troops, the use of armed forces. So far, there is no need for it, but the possibility remains. I would like to say here that the military exercises we recently held had nothing to do with the events in Ukraine. This was pre-planned, but we did not disclose these plans, naturally, because this was a snap inspection of the forces’ combat readiness. We planned this a long time ago, the Defence Minister reported to me and I had the order ready to begin the exercise. As you may know, the exercises are over; I gave the order for the troops to return to their regular dislocations yesterday.

What can serve as a reason to use the Armed Forces? Such a measure would certainly be the very last resort.

First, the issue of legitimacy. As you may know, we have a direct appeal from the incumbent and, as I said, legitimate President of Ukraine, Mr Yanukovych, asking us to use the Armed Forces to protect the lives, freedom and health of the citizens of Ukraine.

What is our biggest concern? We see the rampage of reactionary forces, nationalist and anti-Semitic forces going on in certain parts of Ukraine, including Kiev. I am sure you, members of the media, saw how one of the governors was chained and handcuffed to something and they poured water over him, in the cold of winter. After that, by the way, he was locked up in a cellar and tortured. What is all this about? Is this democracy? Is this some manifestation of democracy? He was actually only recently appointed to this position, in December, I believe. Even if we accept that they are all corrupt there, he had barely had time to steal anything.

And do you know what happened when they seized the Party of Regions building? There were no party members there at all at the time. Some two-three employees came out, one was an engineer, and he said to the attackers: “Could you let us go, and let the women out, please. I’m an engineer, I have nothing to do with politics.” He was shot right there in front of the crowd. Another employee was led to a cellar and then they threw Molotov cocktails at him and burned him alive. Is this also a manifestation of democracy?

When we see this we understand what worries the citizens of Ukraine, both Russian and Ukrainian, and the Russian-speaking population in the eastern and southern regions of Ukraine. It is this uncontrolled crime that worries them. Therefore, if we see such uncontrolled crime spreading to the eastern regions of the country, and if the people ask us for help, while we already have the official request from the legitimate President, we retain the right to use all available means to protect those people. We believe this would be absolutely legitimate. This is our last resort.

Moreover, here is what I would like to say: we have always considered Ukraine not only a neighbour, but also a brotherly neighbouring republic, and will continue to do so. Our Armed Forces are comrades in arms, friends, many of whom know each other personally. I am certain, and I stress, I am certain that the Ukrainian military and the Russian military will not be facing each other, they will be on the same side in a fight.

Incidentally, the things I am talking about – this unity – is what is happening in Crimea. You should note that, thank God, not a single gunshot has been fired there; there are no casualties, except for that crush on the square about a week ago. What was going on there? People came, surrounded units of the armed forces and talked to them, convincing them to follow the demands and the will of the people living in that area. There was not a single armed conflict, not a single gunshot.

Thus the tension in Crimea that was linked to the possibility of using our Armed Forces simply died down and there was no need to use them. The only thing we had to do, and we did it, was to enhance the defence of our military facilities because they were constantly receiving threats and we were aware of the armed nationalists moving in. We did this, it was the right thing to do and very timely. Therefore, I proceed from the idea that we will not have to do anything of the kind in eastern Ukraine.

There is something I would like to stress, however. Obviously, what I am going to say now is not within my authority and we do not intend to interfere. However, we firmly believe that all citizens of Ukraine, I repeat, wherever they live, should be given the same equal right to participate in the life of their country and in determining its future.

If I were in the shoes of those who consider themselves the legitimate authorities, I would not waste time and go through all the necessary procedures, because they do not have a national mandate to conduct the domestic, foreign and economic policy of Ukraine, and especially to determine its future.

Now, the stock market. As you may know, the stock market was jumpy even before the situation in Ukraine deteriorated. This is primarily linked to the policy of the US Federal Reserve, whose recent decisions enhanced the attractiveness of investing in the US economy and investors began moving their funds from the developing markets to the American market. This is a general trend and it has nothing to do with Ukraine. I believe it was India that suffered most, as well as the other BRICS states. Russia was hit as well, not as hard as India, but it was. This is the fundamental reason.

As for the events in Ukraine, politics always influence the stock market in one way or another. Money likes quiet, stability and calm. However, I think this is a tactical, temporary development and a temporary influence.

Your questions, please.

Read more

Posted by: CS | March 11, 2014

Amerika’s Brown Shirt Friends in Ukraine

“I’ll hang you by the balls and have you f***ed” – Oleg Lyashko, Ukrainian presidential hopeful to abducted pro-Russian MP.

And those peace-loving, anti-racist EeYoo folks love Ukraine’s new far-right-wing extremist government too.

Or, anyhow, they’d like to hang Putin by the balls and fuck the Russians, or rather they’d like to slice Russia up into small pieces easily digested by the Noo World Ordure — in the name of democracy, of course.

Meantime US Deputy National Security Advisor Tony Blinken stated:

The US Will Never Accept Crimean Referendum Results

Which pretty much explains what the US Government actually thinks about democracy.

Posted by: CS | March 10, 2014

Three Links: Lose-Lose Conflict in Ukraine

Patrick Buchanan/via David Stockman: Stop the War Party Now

Mike Whitney: Obama’sDumbest Plan Yet

Brandon Smith: Ukraine Crisis – Just Another Globalist-Engineered Powder Keg

Posted by: CS | March 8, 2014

Ukraine Provocation

Is Paul Craig Roberts, former editor of the Wall Street Journal, one-time Deputy Secretary to the US Treasury, etc., etc., a provocateur?

Roberts appears widely in the alt. media section of the Web as a radical critic of the US empire. But for a man of such ability and experience, there is something, well, flaky about some of his pronouncements.

In a recent piece entitled The Looting Of Ukraine Has Begun Roberts writes:

According to a report in Kommersant-Ukraine, the finance ministry of Washington’s stooges in Kiev who are pretending to be a government has prepared an economic austerity plan that will cut Ukrainian pensions from $160 to $80 so that Western bankers who lent money to Ukraine can be repaid at the expense of Ukraine’s poor. It is Greece all over again.

But if you go to the Google translation of the Ukraine Kommersant article you find the following:

The Ministry of Finance has prepared a plan to optimize budget expenditures on the basis of which the end of March to be held sequestration budget. For this purpose, in particular, proposed to reduce capital costs, eliminate tax schemes and incentives and cut social benefits, such as pensions for working pensioners 50%.

Now cutting pensions of “working pensioners” is rather different from starving aging widows to death. In fact, for those still working though of pensionable age, cutting their government pension will have no catastrophic effect on their standard of living, yet it will relieve the indebted and deficit-ridden government of considerable expense. So the proposal under consideration seems entirely prudent and just.

But if Roberts may be excused a mistake in his understanding of a simple and sensible proposed budget measure his subsequent statements verge of the extremist and bizarre.

“Washington,” says Roberts

realizing that its incompetence has lost Crimea, had its Kiev stooges appoint Ukrainian oligarchs, against whom the Maiden protests were partly directed, to governing positions in eastern Ukraine cities. These oligarchs have their own private militias in addition to the police and any Ukrainian military units that are still functioning. The leaders of the protesting Russians are being arrested and disappeared. Washington and its EU puppets, who proclaim their support for self-determination, are only for self-determination when it can be orchestrated in their favor. Therefore, Washington is busy at work suppressing self-determination in eastern Ukraine.

Which may all be true. But then Roberts states

If Putin has drones, he has the option of taking out Taruta and Kolomoyskiy [the above-mentioned oligarchs]. If Putin lets Washington retain the Russian provinces of eastern Ukraine, he will have demonstrated a weakness that Washington will exploit. Washington will exploit the weakness to the point that Washington forces that

The clear impression is that Roberts wants those not onside with Washington over Ukraine to adopt an insane warlike posture that would quite rightly discredit them.

Then there’s Roberts’s high regard for Wikileaks founder, Julian Assange, as expressed, for example, in this excerpt from an article published by flying saucer expert, Jeff Rense:

Why would anyone with a lick of sense read the media when they can read original material from WikiLeaks? The average American reporter and editor must be very angry that his/her own cowardice is so clearly exposed by Julian Assange. The American media is a whore, whereas the courageous blood of warriors runs through WikiLeaks’ veins.

Wikileaks, is an organization that is supposed to provide whistle-blowers a means to expose treason or corruption in high places without exposing themselves to prosecution. However, the only truly high profile information release via Wikileaks was that by Bradley (Chelsea) Manning, now serving 35 years for treason, which suggests that Wikileaks primary objective may be not to protect, but to entrap, leakers or as suggested President foreign policy advisor, Zbigniew Brzezinski, to release material salted with misinformation.

But in any case it seems worth noting that, Assange, so much admired by Roberts, holds in contempt those who question the official story of 9/11, as Assange revealed in a Belfast Telegraph interview.

 Any time people with power plan in secret, they are conducting a conspiracy. So there are conspiracies everywhere. There are also crazed conspiracy theories. It’s important not to confuse these two. Generally, when there’s enough facts about a conspiracy we simply call this news.” What about 9/11? “I’m constantly annoyed that people are distracted by false conspiracies such as 9/11, when all around we provide evidence of real conspiracies, for war or mass financial fraud.

So for whom does Roberts speak?

Is he of the Cass Sunstein school of blogging, Sunstein being the advocate of “cognitive infiltration” of 9/11 Conspiracy Groups?

Apparently not. At least not obviously, since he recommends one of the best deconstructions of the official account of 9/11, namely, the short, sharp and humorous review by James Corbett.

Still, urging Russia to start assassinating Ukrainians by drone seems totally insane, except as a means to achieve precisely what the Neo-Cons and their Neo-Nazi friends in Kiev want — a justification for NATO military action against Russia (reportedly, already underway), including the infiltration of Jihadis into the Caucuses, including Chechnia.

And it would justify a drone strike on Putin, oncee the Russian oligarchs have lined-up a replacement more favorably oriented toward the New World Order plan for the subjugation of Eurasia.

See also: 

Canspeccy: Ukraine: Just One Step in the Assimilation of Eurasia by the New World Order

UKRAINIAN fascists, nationalists and anti-Semites, sponsored by America, seize power in Kiev, overthrowing the legitimate (if ineffectual) president, Viktor Yanukovych. These new overlords humiliate Russian-speakers by outlawing the language and stand poised to sack Russia’s naval base in Sebastopol. Ethnic Russians run to Vladimir Putin for protection; he duly comes to their rescue. Mysterious military men with Russian rifles save the peace-loving people from the fascist threat.

So runs the plot invented by Russian propagandists

The Economist

There you are, everything you thought you knew about events in Ukraine were invented by the Russkies. Even the facts as related above. LOL.

When even disgraced Canadian has-been, Brian Mulroney, is wheeled out to call Putin a loser, when No-NeoCon-War-I-Don’t-Like Stephen Harper and Hilary Clinton are calling Putin the new New Hitler, one can be pretty sure the West is taking a beating in Ukraine, as confirmed by Obama’s poll numbers which, according to Fox News

… are among the lowest in history. As of today, Obama’s approval rating is at 38%. That’s just barely above Richard Nixon.

Meantime, in Russia, according to Fox News:

Russian President Vladimir Putin may have to endure the stern disapproval of U.S. President Barack Obama, and the occasional insult from German Chancellor Angela Merkel, as a result of his invasion of Ukraine. But at home, his approval ratings have soared to nearly 70 percent, up from just above 60 percent in December.

But ex-Canadian Prime Minister Brian Mulroney drew attention, inadvertently, to one significant fact abour Putin. He said:

President Putin is not President Gorbachev…

The implication intended, obviously, is that if he were a President Gorbachev he’d be a vastly better man. And that would be true as far as the promoters of US global hegemony are concerned. Gorby, was the man who fell in love with the West, and who’s wife, according to Time magazine like to shop for jewellery at Cartiers in London, using an American Express card. And it was Gorby who let the Soviet Union slip from his grasp, to be torn apart by the oligarchs aided by American advisers and ex-Commie political operatives.

No, Puters is no Gorbachev. He has no inclination to see Russia absorbed into a fascist New World Order.

For technical reasons the above-titled piece is posted over at blogger


For technical reasons the above-titled piece is posted over at blogger.

Posted by: CS | March 4, 2014

Ukraine: Humbug in the Defense of Hypocrisy

For technical reasons, the above-titled piece is posted over at blogger.

For technical reasons, the above-titled piece is posted over at blogger.

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