Posted by: CS | May 16, 2015

UK 2015: Weird Election Math

The Scotch Nats, with 4.7% of the popular vote, won 56 seats or 8.6% of the total.

The Lib-Dems, with 7.9% of the popular vote, or two-thirds more than the Scotch Nats, won only 8 seats or 1.2% of the total.

UKIP, with 12.6% of the popular vote, or nearly three times the vote for the Scotch Nats, gained only a single seat or 0.15% of the total.

Thus the average number of votes cast for each seat won ranged from under 26,000 for the Scotch Nats, to 3,881,000 for UKIP.*

Still, in every constituency, the candidate with the most votes won (unless votes were rigged, as some believe).

So should anyone care that for each seat won, UKIP received 149 times as many votes as the the Scotch Nats? Probably not. Farage built UKIP’s campaign around huge public opposition to mass immigration, while repeatedly proclaiming:

  • (a) that he is an enthusiast for immigration;
  • (b) that Britain’s immigration policy should be based on Australia’s “points system” to control the quality and quantity of immigrants coming to Britain — as if immigration is part of some kind of selective breeding program (which is probably exactly how Farage and most members of the elite see it), and as if an immigration policy suitable for a settler state such as Australia, with half Britain’s population but 30 times the territorial extent is somehow appropriate for a densely crowded, many-thousand-year-old nation state; and
  • (c) that most Brits would prefer more Indians, Pakistanis and sub-Saharan Africans (i.e., the Commonwealth citizens favored by Farage) to Europeans, which seems unlikely even if many of the Albanians are professional pick-pockets.

With such a contradictory stance, Farage would almost certainly have disappointed all expectations had he and a significant group of Kippers been elected. Indeed, UKIP appears, like the late unlamented BNP, to be a party intended to divert, while dis-empowering, those most adversely affected by mass immigration.

* In addition, the Tories, with 36% of the popular vote, won 331 seats or 51% of the total, while Labour, with 30% of the popular vote, won 232 seats or 36% of the total.


CanSpeccy: The Scotch Nats at Westminster: A Party Without Power or Purpose

CanSpeccy: Why the UK Election changes nothing

CanSpeccy: The 2015 UK Pre-election Leaders’ Debate


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